With the warlord Khalifa Haftar emerging from defeat doing deals with the wily political survivor Aguila Saleh and a corrupt Prime Minister Dbeibah in place, Libyans gain no measure of security and face a bleak future.
Additionally, the security situation in Libya has further deteriorated as armed groups continue to clash in Tripoli, the western capital of the internationally recognized GNU, and Benghazi, the eastern home of General Khalifa Haftar’s Libyan National Army (LNA). Benghazi, a city infamous for assassinations, has, in recent months, unsurprisingly witnessed another round of assassinations and abductions of activists by armed groups under the leadership of the rogue general. These actions demonstrate the power of Libya’s armed groups and mercenaries and their ability to undermine authority—elected or otherwise. Despite the glaring power of such groups, the plan to hold elections under such conditions—by any means and irrespective of any consequences—could have serious implications for Libya’s fragile peace.
The sequencing and weaponization of the process is reflected in Haftar’s enthusiasm for elections and his adversarial posture to the military track tasked with unifying all military forces under the command of the unity government’s civilian presidency, known as the Presidential Council (a three-person body appointed by the LPDF to represent a balance of Libya’s three geographical regions). Haftar, who famously claimed Libya was not ripe for democracy, has now temporarily stepped down from his position as leader of the LNA to prepare a presidential bid ahead of the December elections. If Haftar wins, his opponents will likely question the integrity of polls in the east, where civilians live under a tightly-controlled police state, and claim that the general has stuffed ballots, potentially sparking a war. If Haftar loses, he will return to his self-styled position as the leader of the LNA and continue to stall the military track and state-building process.
Sidst redigeret af Vymer : 23rd October 2021 kl. 07:15 AM.