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  #1521 (permalink)  
Gammel 18th August 2017, 09:49 AM
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De syriske salafisters kamporganisation er ved at kollapse. Snart er der kun al-Qaeda tilbage i Idlib. Dette vil gøre det meget nemt at begynde en ny offensiv fra regeringens side.

Syria Rebels Lose Heavyweight with Collapse of Islamist Faction: AFP

Citer:
But it never backed the group's transnational jihadist ideology or that of the Islamic State group.

Instead, it was often seen as a bridge between more moderate and radical strands of Syria's opposition.

That identity crisis was one of the reasons behind the group's downfall, analysts said.

Ahrar's defeat by HTS "was the culmination of a long process of Ahrar's indecisiveness, a shaky identity, and the loss of local and regional allies", analyst Ahmad Abazeid wrote for the Turkey-based Toran Centre.

Ahrar's refusal to shore up other rebels targeted in recent years by jihadists meant no one came to its aid when it was attacked, Oliver said.
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  #1522 (permalink)  
Gammel 18th August 2017, 05:05 PM
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Nu er lommen etableret. Oprydningsarbejdet kommer til at tage tid, men der er få flugtmuligheder. Jeg tvivler på at befolkningen i området får lov at rejse til Idlib.

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  #1523 (permalink)  
Gammel 19th August 2017, 04:54 PM
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De dele af libanesiske politisk lederskab som er anti-Assad har smidt håndklædet i ringen. Hæren er indsat for at eliminere det IS kontrollerede område i Libanon.

Lebanese Army kicks off massive operation to retake Syrian border: al-Masdar
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  #1524 (permalink)  
Gammel 20th August 2017, 11:10 AM
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Et par amerikanere viser at de ikke har forstået at Vesten ikke længere er de eneste store pengemænd her i verden. Magten flytter sig. Kina kan uden problemer stille med 100 mia dollars pr år til genopbygning af Syrien. Det vil osse passe som fod i hose med deres "Belt and Road Initiative" plan for at binde central og vestasien samt Afrika med Kina. Iran, Irak og Syrien vil blive gode allierede med Kina.

Economics Could Be the Key to Ending the Syrian Civil War af General John R. Allen, USMC (Ret.), and Michael O'Hanlon are senior fellows at the Brookings Institution.

Citer:
The ultimate goal is to persuade Assad to hand the reins of power to a successor regime, partly of his own choosing but with far less blood on its hands, so that his own people and the country's main population belt can access the kind of reconstruction aid that will only be made available to them once he is gone. Rebuilding Syria will take upwards of $100 billion a year—the kind of money that Assad's allies simply do not have. Hence our opportunity for using economics as leverage.
Kinas økonomi er ca 11.000 mia dollars og med store overskud på handelsbalancen, ca 400-500 mia dollars. En årlig investering på 100 mia er til at overskue.

Fabrice Balanche fra Washington Institute har er bedre forståelse af problemer og muligheder.

Not Money Alone: The Challenges of Syrian Reconstruction

EU should Not Blackmail Syria over Aid.


Europas nationale interesser er ikke at følge USA men sikre vores interesser. Returnering af syriske flygtninge. Uden krav om menneskerettigheder osv. Igen dyrker EU ideen om at svække den syriske regering og skabe et jihadi-kontrolleret område. (hvilket er konsekvensen jvf udviklingen i Idlib)

EU Should Play Major Role in Syria Reconstruction


Citer:
However, given the current impossibility to remove Asad, as well as its numerous and powerful security agencies, from the main centers of power in Damascus, a second possible formula of political compromise has emerged over the last year as a credible alternative to a power-sharing settlement at the central government level: decentralization.

Sidst redigeret af Vymer : 20th August 2017 kl. 11:12 AM.
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  #1525 (permalink)  
Gammel 21st August 2017, 08:28 AM
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Tyrkiet går sine egne veje. Hvor længe mon de vil være en del af NATO?

https://www.buzzfeed.com/mitchprothe...gbY#.pkxG5Epyo

Citer:
Adding to tensions is anger at Turkey over the July 19 publication by Turkey’s government-owned Anadolu news agency of a report and map that detailed the specific locations and numbers of US, French, and British forces in northern Syria.

The French military was particularly angry, said the NATO military intelligence officer in Brussels, because the report revealed the presence of French troops who'd been undertaking an aggressive campaign to eliminate many of the hundreds of French nationals who've joined ISIS before they could return to Europe. The NATO source said that while the presence of US commandos in Syria was well known, the French program was largely a secret and was considered critical to heading off the kinds of ISIS attacks in Europe that have claimed scores of lives.

“A secret NATO operation to eliminate terrorists before they can attack Europe was revealed by a NATO ally,” he said. “That should tell you how bad things are in this relationship.”

A French Ministry of Defense official who asked not to be named described the betrayal as historic.
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  #1526 (permalink)  
Gammel 21st August 2017, 03:25 PM
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Despite losing terrain, Islamic State's attacks rose in 2016: study - Reuters
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  #1527 (permalink)  
Gammel 21st August 2017, 03:30 PM
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En ny lille lomme er ved at blive etableret.

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  #1528 (permalink)  
Gammel 23rd August 2017, 08:06 AM
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Stillingen i den syriske ørken.

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  #1529 (permalink)  
Gammel 23rd August 2017, 10:27 AM
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Da Rusland slog til i Aleppo hørte vi ingen ende af klager. Men når det samme sker i Raqqa er der total stilhed i den vestlige presse.

https://twitter.com/OmerOzkizilcik/s...99283893743617
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  #1530 (permalink)  
Gammel 24th August 2017, 07:42 PM
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Ny bog på vej om Syrien.

What the West Got Wrong in Syria - As President Bashar al-Assad tightens his grip over the country, it's time for those who tried to topple him to take stock of where they went wrong. : Foreign Policy

Imens har IS ved den libanesisk-syriske grænse bedt om lov til at forlade området og gå til Deir ez-Zour. Det vil give mere mening at eliminere dem hvor de er nu.

Islamic State asks Hezbollah, Syrian Army for withdrawal from Syria-Lebanon border: Reuters

Sidst redigeret af Vymer : 24th August 2017 kl. 07:48 PM.
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