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Vymer 15th June 2020 12:22 AM

Et kig på fremtidens stormagtspolitik
 
Først Kina, så kommer Indien, Indonesien osv. Imens forsvinder EU fra magtkortet stille og roligt over det næste århundrede og så.

Washington Complains: China is Doing What We Always Do!: American Conservative

Citer:

Beijing is using threats and aid to pressure other governments to toe the line. Wherever did they get that from?

Vymer 12th July 2020 05:40 AM

Kina viser sin nye placering som nummer to i verden.

Stærke nok til at afvise USA. Hvor længe vil USA drive andre stater ind i Kinas arme?

Defying U.S., China and Iran Near Trade and Military Partnership: NYT

Vymer 21st July 2020 12:44 AM

Old School strategi.

Og en Old School observation:
Citer:

As AJP Taylor once archly observed, leaders in the 19th c. “fought ‘necessary’ wars & killed thousands; the idealists of the 20th c. fought ‘just’ wars & killed millions.”
Vi er desværre stadigvæk belemret med idealisterne. Dog er forfatteren begejstring for nationalisme ikke helt til at forstå givet at 1. og 2. verdenskrig blev startet af nationalister.


https://foreignpolicy.com/2020/07/17...-own-business/

Vymer 14th August 2020 12:20 PM

Europas fremtid er som Filippinerne, når magtstrukturerne har ændret sig. Magt er ret og vores grænser vil blive ændret af de nye magthavere. Og nye kolonister vil dukke op i ex-Europa.

En realistisk vurdering trods hans "crazy" politikker på hjemmefronten.

Duterte says Beijing is 'in possession' of South China Sea

Citer:

Responding to criticisms that his government had not done enough to assert Philippines' South China Sea claims, Duterte admitted he was "inutile"in the territorial dispute.

"China is claiming it. We are claiming it. China has the arms. We do not have it. So, it's as simple as that. They are in possession of the property... so what can we do?" Duterte said.

"We have to go to war, and I cannot afford it, maybe other presidents can but I cannot... I cannot do anything," he said.

Vymer 27th August 2020 03:19 PM

Tyrkiets benytter de nye tider til at presse Grækenland. Flygtningstrømme er en godt langsigtet våben. En gammel klassiker med interne kampe blandt vasalstater. Dog med det forbehold at Tyrkiet måske er på vej ud af den amerikanske sfære.

https://www.keeptalkinggreece.com/20...zo-greece-eez/
https://www.keeptalkinggreece.com/20...es-fm-dendias/

Vymer 11th October 2020 08:31 AM

Når fremtidens stormagter ønsker at afvæbne UK, Frankrig, Rusland og Israel for deres a-våben vil vi se dette. Ditto når koloniseringen af Europa begynder. En politik som dansk presse kritiserer voldsomt når det var Assad & Co som benyttede metoden.

Iran sanctions now causing food insecurity, mass suffering: The Guardian


Citer:

Even more infamously, the beloved former Democratic Secretary of State Madeleine Albright - when asked in 1996 by 60 Minutes' Lesley Stahl about reports that 500,000 Iraqi children had died as a result of US-imposed sanctions on that country - stoically replied: "I think this is a very hard choice, but the price - we think the price is worth it." So extreme was the suffering caused by sanctions in Iraq that one former UN official, Denis Halliday, resigned in protest, saying that the sanctions policy met the formal definition of "genocide":

"We are now in there responsible for killing people, destroying their families, their children, allowing their older parents to die for lack of basic medicines. We're in there allowing children to die who were not born yet when Saddam Hussein made the mistake of invading Kuwait."

Vymer 13th October 2020 02:51 PM

En forklaring på USAs aggressive udenrigspolitik baseret på demografi. De ved at nu er de stærkeste og kan sparke rundt med EU, Japan og konfronterer Kina.

En rapport fra juli, 2001 viser at amerikanerne var klar over de forandringer der er på vej. Sjovt nok er de blinde for konsekvenserne i USA af fortsat indvandring.


Long-Term Global Demographic Trends: Resharping the Geopolitical Landscape: Homeland Security Digital Library

Vymer 16th October 2020 07:17 PM

Førstepladsen er dog kun i købekraftsdollars ikke i nominelle. Man køber inflydelse i nominel valuta og ikke PPP.


China Is Now the World’s Largest Economy. We Shouldn’t Be Shocked.

Vymer 17th November 2020 12:42 AM

Et tegn om USAs nye stilling i denne del af verden.


Korea Signs China-Led Mega FTA: Chosunilbo

Vymer 19th November 2020 12:55 PM

Et kig på hvorfor indvandring skaber problemer med udenlandsk indblanding fra fremtidens stormagter.

Indvandring er selvfølgelig politik og derfor ikke forudsigelig på længere sigt, men ved at køre trenden ud i fremtiden for man en fornemmelse for udfordringen.

Do Germans still belong to Germany in the near future?

The incredibly shrinking Italian population: By 2080, Italians will be a minority in their own country


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